The landmark paper, "Feeling the Future: Experimental Evidence for Anomalous Retroactive Influences on Cognition and Affect" by Daryl Bem was published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology in 2011. Bem’s paper describes a series of experiments indicating that humans have a capacity for perceiving or predicting events before they occur. The Transparent Psi Project (TPP) is a multi-site replication of the first experiment in Bem's paper. Our project aims to demonstrate the use of methodological tools that facilitate highly credible and rigorous research. The study protocol for this project was developed through an expert consensus procedure (ECO) in which more than 20 stakeholders in the field contributed to finalizing the protocol. The protocol includes a comprehensive toolkit of safeguards against researcher biases and mistakes, such as radical transparency about the entire research pipeline through Born Open Data, Direct Data Deposition, Real-time Research Reports, automation, third-party research audits, tamper-evident seals on data and software, documented training, and laboratory logs.
We found 49.89% successful guesses, which is very close to what we would expect if people don’t have precognition ability and rather are just guessing blindly. This is in contrast with Bem’s original finding of 53.07% success rate, which was significantly higher than what is expected by chance. Thus, Bem’s findings were disconfirmed in our study. In this presentation I will talk about the implications of these findings, and the lessons learned during the implementation of the consensus procedure and the new research methods. Future directions for research on precognition and ESP will also be discussed.
Also, see the (SPR's) Psi Encylopedia entry here: www.tinyurl.com/2pta5gmb
Dr Kekecs received his PhD in behavioral medicine in 2014 from ELTE. He works as assistant professor at ELTE, Department of Affective Psychology. His research is related to the effectiveness of hypnosis interventions used in medicine, and the psychophysiological mechanisms underlying these effects. He is also interested in developing methods and tools to improve the credibility of research in psychological science. Dr Kekecs is active in professional communities: for example, he is the secretary of the Society for Clinical and Experimental Hypnosis, and he is a member of the Data and Methods Committee of the Psychological Science Accelerator.
When
17th April, 2023 from 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM
Contact
Office Phone: 02079378984
Email: [email protected]
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